I count 19 projects that appear to have 'finished' phase 3 (not counting RadioRuler who has stated that he is bowing out).
So almost half of us have a chance...!
It's never been stated how the community votes are really counted. If the community counts for 50%..., well, 50% of what? If the 3 judges are the other 50%, how does it work?
I guess one way would be like this:
Assume there are a total of 333 community votes across all the projects, then each judge gets to cast 111 votes in total, for any project that meets the basic requirements.
Or, it could be that the 3 judges get together and agree on their top 8, then each of those top 8 gets [333 / 8 = 41.625] votes added to their community votes. It would be possible for the judges to deliberately 'skew' their votes to help folks that don't have many community votes. So suppose 'A' has 100 C-votes, and 'B' has 10 C-votes, but the judges think that 'B' is a better project, they could help 'stuff the ballot-box' for 'B' to push him into the top 8.
However it works, I'm hoping that it works in my favor, since I don't have very many community votes...

Pete